EUPHIX (www.euphix.org)

EUPHIX, European Public Health Information, Knowledge & Data Management System
Population projections

Population projections (absolute numbers), baseline variant for women 80 years and over in Iceland, Norway, Switzerland and the EU-27, 1995-2050 (source: Eurostat, 2007)

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2045

2050

Austria

220,986

197,257

249,230

272,315

278,052

293,577

349,625

383,594

414,039

548,791

610,735

Belgium

271,211

250,216

302,602

349,567

393,608

417,758

428,458

495,938

569,248

721,347

754,796

Bulgaria

129,680

106,613

152,919

178,958

201,940

206,071

216,842

256,786

285,038

297,889

297,340

Cyprus

9,561

10,390

11,521

13,349

15,611

18,842

22,848

28,477

33,926

45,775

48,203

Czech Republic

200,173

166,826

214,947

246,045

259,531

259,811

309,125

396,149

456,683

451,391

454,751

Denmark

137,572

139,966

146,336

144,201

144,033

153,020

179,652

215,284

230,052

253,212

268,443

Estonia

31,181

27,803

32,631

38,627

41,739

45,684

45,049

47,852

53,118

61,365

60,640

Finland

117,341

124,690

145,345

161,942

172,450

187,494

205,789

267,422

305,955

324,973

320,594

France

1,674,336

1,496,179

1,871,392

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Germany

2,429,843

2,163,909

2,570,408

2,853,508

3,035,947

3,624,659

3,988,628

3,956,109

4,280,762

5,494,432

5,943,840

Greece

193,767

200,394

217,275

288,697

364,523

404,988

402,734

437,710

477,640

572,616

626,404

Hungary

207,680

180,773

235,296

271,091

295,090

311,765

346,052

386,312

456,277

460,856

461,486

Iceland

4,305

4,606

5,478

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Ireland

57,170

62,062

71,871

78,395

85,061

95,212

111,722

140,489

169,212

229,137

257,704

Italy

1,506,257

1,499,968

1,939,607

2,245,342

2,517,717

2,747,292

2,874,057

3,130,965

3,322,842

4,023,098

4,478,679

Latvia

53,928

46,049

54,981

66,701

72,105

79,198

80,654

80,562

85,162

102,595

102,649

Lithuania

68,203

59,304

70,925

93,796

106,562

114,969

118,211

120,754

129,595

169,610

176,272

Luxembourg

9,588

9,549

10,467

12,428

13,815

14,728

15,635

17,639

20,588

28,520

32,088

Malta

4,840

5,513

7,213

8,504

10,090

11,688

13,120

17,656

20,335

22,764

21,736

Netherlands

332,102

348,985

391,376

410,949

430,592

453,715

503,975

623,328

696,998

826,960

873,074

Norway

115,722

126,965

140,667

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Poland

580,469

521,877

684,136

853,849

984,343

1,051,115

1,044,272

1,275,384

1,650,251

1,917,216

1,799,805

Portugal

197,414

215,663

257,958

300,106

346,877

384,382

408,906

455,696

504,180

609,092

646,648

Romania

302,921

254,282

334,808

415,966

467,402

516,816

507,494

552,228

664,661

733,291

841,907

Slovakia

77,475

67,300

87,668

101,180

109,637

113,792

127,011

153,597

196,089

235,315

234,138

Slovenia

36,747

32,541

44,750

55,849

65,339

69,558

74,005

79,765

95,158

115,030

118,891

Spain

871,219

996,492

1,201,206

1,422,761

1,643,029

1,732,407

1,826,216

2,035,014

2,264,026

2,958,226

3,316,908

Sweden

265,749

283,829

308,424

306,073

300,851

311,241

363,148

437,818

465,105

491,666

521,739

Switzerland

189,849

191,561

218,049

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

United Kingdom

1,594,211

1,582,227

1,733,200

1,785,332

1,849,340

1,971,553

2,173,072

2,591,326

2,797,574

3,458,827

3,778,177

EU-15

-

-

-

12,782,324

14,001,006

15,334,018

16,434,655

18,319,160

20,218,018

25,013,410

27,072,395

EU-25

11,132,492

10,689,762

12,860,765

14,531,315

15,961,053

17,410,440

18,615,002

20,905,668

23,394,612

28,595,327

30,550,966

- : no data available

Remarks

In the Trend scenario produced by Eurostat, the population projections describe the possible future demographic developments making assumptions on the three components of change, namely fertility, mortality and net migration. Based on different assumptions (baseline, high and low) on these three components, seven variants were included in the Trend scenario: baseline, high population, low population, younger age profile population, older age profile population, high fertility and zero migration.

The table above shows the projected population (baseline variant) on 1 January of each year for 2010 and therafter.

For 1995, 2000 and 2005 the population size on 1 January of the year in question is given. The population size is based on data from the most recent census adjusted by the components of population change produced since the last census, or based on population registers. The data was collected by Eurostat from the National Statistical Offices.

Also see:

Eurostat Metadata Regional population projections 2004-based (europop2004): Summary Methodology

Eurostat Statistics in focus: Long-term population projections at national level