EUPHIX (www.euphix.org)

EUPHIX, European Public Health Information, Knowledge & Data Management System
Population projections

Female population projections (absolute numbers), baseline variant, in Iceland, Norway, Switzerland and the EU-27, 1995-2050 (source: Eurostat, 2007)

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2045

2050

Austria

4,112,289

4,133,855

4,220,228

4,236,667

4,281,008

4,318,105

4,346,528

4,355,491

4,339,057

4,256,051

4,187,117

Belgium

5,175,903

5,233,071

5,334,527

5,381,196

5,436,690

5,490,358

5,541,410

5,584,587

5,612,499

5,596,001

5,556,356

Bulgaria

4,297,452

4,199,715

3,993,439

3,833,500

3,675,624

3,499,482

3,323,592

3,169,067

3,026,214

2,738,810

2,592,087

Cyprus

325,432

350,842

379,977

398,893

421,774

441,389

457,533

470,182

479,070

490,415

494,816

Czech Republic

5,312,697

5,277,036

5,239,664

5,185,066

5,122,908

5,061,511

5,013,480

4,952,231

4,864,202

4,645,912

4,534,277

Denmark

2,642,394

2,695,898

2,734,113

2,751,763

2,762,274

2,772,189

2,784,725

2,793,343

2,789,134

2,739,437

2,708,512

Estonia

776,811

739,362

726,910

709,524

691,259

674,089

659,933

646,856

633,899

609,803

596,742

Finland

2,617,105

2,648,276

2,674,534

2,695,698

2,719,783

2,741,634

2,756,894

2,758,964

2,742,997

2,669,536

2,630,217

France

30,473,942

31,125,647

32,147,490

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Germany

41,893,638

42,072,699

42,147,222

42,150,749

42,090,919

41,956,775

41,668,977

41,193,782

40,565,551

39,014,278

37,978,621

Greece

5,351,881

5,503,843

5,596,119

5,697,867

5,759,950

5,776,202

5,756,442

5,716,611

5,662,928

5,495,222

5,372,310

Hungary

5,395,080

5,356,450

5,304,434

5,249,897

5,170,120

5,090,372

5,026,352

4,960,865

4,884,257

4,704,049

4,608,540

Iceland

133,087

139,384

146,407

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Ireland

1,810,405

1,900,789

2,062,080

2,170,178

2,285,148

2,385,903

2,470,520

2,544,595

2,612,890

2,724,523

2,758,855

Italy

29,275,445

29,360,536

30,085,571

30,135,095

30,087,672

29,870,244

29,545,492

29,165,083

28,739,378

27,663,067

26,941,779

Latvia

1,346,259

1,284,827

1,243,516

1,208,256

1,171,933

1,138,157

1,110,580

1,084,317

1,058,925

1,016,376

993,909

Lithuania

1,925,783

1,867,773

1,827,169

1,789,740

1,746,883

1,707,496

1,679,307

1,654,616

1,627,065

1,565,825

1,529,211

Luxembourg

206,487

219,985

230,260

241,194

251,705

262,703

274,295

285,921

296,979

316,246

324,804

Malta

186,613

191,612

203,088

212,346

220,493

228,247

235,378

241,380

246,156

253,215

256,807

Netherlands

7,796,640

8,017,633

8,239,547

8,411,242

8,549,131

8,673,099

8,783,672

8,866,044

8,904,398

8,830,886

8,753,326

Norway

2,198,153

2,261,357

2,322,293

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Poland

19,802,557

19,870,135

19,703,582

19,546,387

19,356,573

19,169,867

19,038,790

18,877,506

18,614,254

17,784,572

17,293,871

Portugal

5,190,718

5,276,772

5,434,916

5,516,389

5,553,049

5,554,817

5,531,077

5,493,649

5,440,933

5,274,742

5,150,882

Romania

11,302,858

11,195,864

11,096,818

10,956,678

10,738,633

10,439,295

10,127,221

9,861,221

9,616,744

9,064,980

8,732,129

Slovakia

2,747,306

2,773,531

2,771,332

2,756,397

2,739,623

2,721,366

2,705,239

2,680,571

2,640,520

2,518,948

2,445,397

Slovenia

1,025,102

1,016,943

1,020,538

1,022,395

1,020,640

1,016,239

1,013,932

1,011,475

1,005,704

983,689

967,733

Spain

20,074,539

20,442,941

21,864,746

22,687,351

23,035,230

23,203,133

23,228,121

23,178,328

23,086,864

22,601,777

22,098,384

Sweden

4,460,127

4,481,308

4,545,081

4,618,787

4,699,906

4,792,189

4,883,384

4,952,526

4,993,501

5,046,477

5,077,621

Switzerland

3,590,651

3,663,736

3,786,406

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

United Kingdom

29,787,456

30,150,784

30,664,900

31,000,744

31,434,564

31,882,778

32,281,208

32,554,075

32,657,578

32,575,506

32,370,834

EU-15

-

-

-

199,276,418

201,093,926

202,294,056

202,865,577

202,819,558

202,128,967

198,606,302

195,530,494

EU-25

228,913,146

231,992,548

236,401,544

237,355,319

238,756,132

239,542,789

239,806,101

239,399,557

238,183,019

233,179,106

229,251,797

- : no data available

Remarks

In the Trend scenario produced by Eurostat, the population projections describe the possible future demographic developments making assumptions on the three components of change, namely fertility, mortality and net migration. Based on different assumptions (baseline, high and low) on these three components, seven variants were included in the Trend scenario: baseline, high population, low population, younger age profile population, older age profile population, high fertility and zero migration.

The table above shows the projected population (baseline variant) on 1 January of each year for 2010 and therafter.

For 1995, 2000 and 2005 the population size on 1 January of the year in question is given. The population size is based on data from the most recent census adjusted by the components of population change produced since the last census, or based on population registers. The data was collected by Eurostat from the National Statistical Offices.

Also see:

Eurostat Metadata Regional population projections 2004-based (europop2004): Summary Methodology

Eurostat Statistics in focus: Long-term population projections at national level