Population projections (absolute numbers), baseline variant for men 80 years and over in Iceland, Norway, Switzerland and the EU-27, 1995-2050 (source: Eurostat, 2007)
| 1995
| 2000
| 2005
| 2010
| 2015
| 2020
| 2025
| 2030
| 2035
| 2045
| 2050
|
|---|
Austria
| 87,451
| 74,854
| 98,210
| 123,216
| 142,448
| 167,573
| 212,229
| 238,422
| 261,904
| 376,636
| 427,811
|
Belgium
| 115,047
| 106,282
| 145,050
| 175,677
| 205,179
| 224,539
| 238,543
| 295,967
| 350,412
| 453,137
| 473,337
|
Bulgaria
| 85,182
| 67,577
| 89,572
| 104,168
| 116,100
| 116,783
| 123,714
| 151,263
| 174,744
| 202,595
| 213,548
|
Cyprus
| 7,076
| 7,489
| 8,035
| 9,204
| 10,905
| 13,914
| 17,334
| 21,465
| 25,027
| 31,071
| 32,025
|
Czech Republic
| 84,923
| 70,389
| 93,385
| 112,600
| 125,185
| 132,784
| 173,183
| 238,110
| 284,787
| 302,425
| 318,236
|
Denmark
| 67,347
| 68,871
| 74,535
| 78,200
| 82,988
| 95,262
| 121,068
| 151,434
| 162,002
| 186,456
| 201,371
|
Estonia
| 9,611
| 8,326
| 9,475
| 12,586
| 14,583
| 16,544
| 16,715
| 18,611
| 21,785
| 27,869
| 29,027
|
Finland
| 44,416
| 46,365
| 57,973
| 73,674
| 86,699
| 102,560
| 120,497
| 169,939
| 197,508
| 215,638
| 216,326
|
France
| 760,177
| 673,229
| 921,730
| -
| -
| -
| -
| -
| -
| -
| -
|
Germany
| 903,114
| 770,921
| 986,574
| 1,326,132
| 1,647,049
| 2,206,748
| 2,521,951
| 2,530,327
| 2,819,662
| 3,853,672
| 4,219,015
|
Greece
| 134,662
| 137,584
| 159,057
| 209,066
| 260,156
| 281,017
| 277,786
| 309,686
| 348,184
| 428,175
| 479,926
|
Hungary
| 94,580
| 79,321
| 102,593
| 118,316
| 131,967
| 141,610
| 167,787
| 200,200
| 251,141
| 273,951
| 292,524
|
Iceland
| 2,673
| 2,865
| 3,529
| -
| -
| -
| -
| -
| -
| -
| -
|
Ireland
| 31,152
| 32,600
| 38,511
| 42,974
| 50,442
| 59,907
| 74,406
| 97,096
| 118,142
| 160,941
| 184,810
|
Italy
| 771,312
| 731,207
| 958,597
| 1,167,938
| 1,359,041
| 1,542,164
| 1,652,899
| 1,871,059
| 2,027,348
| 2,608,242
| 2,976,122
|
Latvia
| 17,593
| 14,041
| 15,307
| 20,839
| 25,091
| 29,886
| 31,742
| 32,945
| 36,777
| 50,410
| 53,253
|
Lithuania
| 28,227
| 22,511
| 24,795
| 33,566
| 38,964
| 42,732
| 45,003
| 47,874
| 55,021
| 82,280
| 89,184
|
Luxembourg
| 4,034
| 3,812
| 4,153
| 5,970
| 7,352
| 8,280
| 9,309
| 11,352
| 13,655
| 19,380
| 21,701
|
Malta
| 2,933
| 3,193
| 4,278
| 4,924
| 5,745
| 7,087
| 8,594
| 12,563
| 14,952
| 17,214
| 16,558
|
Netherlands
| 143,655
| 151,354
| 182,197
| 203,142
| 228,003
| 257,620
| 305,498
| 396,436
| 441,743
| 534,046
| 568,209
|
Norway
| 57,758
| 63,057
| 72,488
| -
| -
| -
| -
| -
| -
| -
| -
|
Poland
| 250,930
| 224,016
| 282,051
| 374,956
| 457,733
| 508,434
| 526,657
| 701,538
| 966,438
| 1,203,615
| 1,173,680
|
Portugal
| 102,213
| 114,589
| 143,050
| 165,089
| 193,670
| 217,793
| 234,838
| 268,900
| 306,254
| 388,085
| 420,110
|
Romania
| 177,470
| 136,753
| 182,194
| 233,928
| 264,824
| 290,083
| 286,529
| 324,580
| 408,484
| 485,886
| 591,519
|
Slovakia
| 38,331
| 32,428
| 39,739
| 44,536
| 47,729
| 49,783
| 58,462
| 77,044
| 106,736
| 139,237
| 143,405
|
Slovenia
| 15,219
| 12,380
| 15,709
| 21,581
| 27,976
| 33,226
| 38,687
| 46,007
| 60,738
| 77,468
| 81,681
|
Spain
| 447,919
| 505,921
| 643,472
| 796,171
| 949,936
| 1,013,288
| 1,098,207
| 1,256,871
| 1,421,916
| 1,918,213
| 2,184,100
|
Sweden
| 142,383
| 152,653
| 173,913
| 176,685
| 179,460
| 198,525
| 251,083
| 311,240
| 328,280
| 357,146
| 386,571
|
Switzerland
| 88,681
| 91,924
| 110,099
| -
| -
| -
| -
| -
| -
| -
| -
|
United Kingdom
| 701,433
| 736,838
| 902,500
| 1,008,623
| 1,121,009
| 1,268,786
| 1,458,826
| 1,804,941
| 1,975,237
| 2,526,847
| 2,798,825
|
EU-15
| -
| -
| -
| 6,653,382
| 7,784,916
| 9,015,784
| 10,045,903
| 11,604,939
| 13,037,930
| 16,702,028
| 18,359,535
|
EU-25
| 4,997,350
| 4,781,174
| 6,084,889
| 7,406,490
| 8,670,794
| 9,991,784
| 11,130,067
| 13,001,296
| 14,861,332
| 18,907,568
| 20,589,108
|
- : no data available
Remarks
 |  |
In the Trend scenario produced by Eurostat, the population projections describe the possible future demographic developments making assumptions on the three components of change, namely fertility, mortality and net migration. Based on different assumptions (baseline, high and low) on these three components, seven variants were included in the Trend scenario: baseline, high population, low population, younger age profile population, older age profile population, high fertility and zero migration.
The table above shows the projected population (baseline variant) on 1 January of each year for 2010 and therafter.
| For 1995, 2000 and 2005 the population size on 1 January of the year in question is given. The population size is based on data from the most recent census adjusted by the components of population change produced since the last census, or based on population registers. The data was collected by Eurostat from the National Statistical Offices.
Also see:
Eurostat Metadata Regional population projections 2004-based (europop2004): Summary Methodology
Eurostat Statistics in focus: Long-term population projections at national level
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Literature and data sources
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