EUPHIX (www.euphix.org)

EUPHIX, European Public Health Information, Knowledge & Data Management System
Population projections

Remarks

Male population projections (absolute numbers), baseline variant in Iceland, Norway, Switzerland and the EU-27, 1995-2050 (source: Eurostat, 2007)

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2045

2050

Austria

3,831,200

3,868,331

3,986,296

4,019,143

4,076,533

4,122,988

4,154,098

4,164,402

4,151,851

4,083,806

4,028,838

Belgium

4,954,671

5,006,014

5,111,325

5,172,848

5,236,840

5,299,663

5,357,029

5,399,598

5,418,961

5,386,120

5,349,432

Bulgaria

4,129,966

3,991,161

3,767,610

3,605,288

3,454,658

3,296,570

3,141,517

3,005,500

2,882,222

2,634,039

2,501,976

Cyprus

319,967

339,655

369,198

384,734

406,019

424,204

439,325

451,273

460,008

473,574

480,255

Czech Republic

5,020,464

5,001,062

4,980,913

4,937,076

4,889,107

4,840,337

4,798,197

4,740,679

4,658,878

4,463,122

4,359,234

Denmark

2,573,324

2,634,122

2,677,292

2,713,623

2,735,700

2,753,844

2,771,908

2,783,917

2,783,398

2,746,665

2,721,478

Estonia

671,264

632,709

620,600

604,525

587,667

573,683

564,141

555,619

547,726

535,606

529,028

Finland

2,481,649

2,523,026

2,562,077

2,598,667

2,633,716

2,663,101

2,681,918

2,684,460

2,669,418

2,613,503

2,586,812

France

28,841,197

29,387,740

30,371,081

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Germany

39,644,965

40,090,776

40,353,627

40,672,946

40,773,307

40,719,685

40,438,651

39,952,445

39,319,718

37,682,329

36,663,787

Greece

5,243,193

5,399,914

5,486,632

5,570,850

5,630,054

5,650,841

5,637,093

5,599,796

5,545,218

5,377,151

5,259,464

Hungary

4,941,620

4,865,194

4,793,115

4,732,025

4,664,130

4,602,910

4,562,022

4,523,549

4,477,974

4,368,264

4,306,329

Iceland

133,891

139,665

147,170

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Ireland

1,787,212

1,876,974

2,047,093

2,152,475

2,269,746

2,370,208

2,451,801

2,521,244

2,584,628

2,688,269

2,719,008

Italy

27,568,963

27,562,988

28,376,804

28,496,049

28,542,558

28,429,428

28,205,466

27,906,406

27,537,035

26,494,595

25,767,432

Latvia

1,154,321

1,096,888

1,062,918

1,031,386

1,002,297

977,269

957,486

938,034

919,693

892,690

878,946

Lithuania

1,717,208

1,644,301

1,598,155

1,555,623

1,510,767

1,474,719

1,454,347

1,437,308

1,417,761

1,375,607

1,351,914

Luxembourg

199,163

213,615

224,740

236,185

246,984

258,153

269,714

281,080

291,558

309,561

317,772

Malta

182,838

188,589

199,580

210,254

218,388

225,773

232,431

237,730

241,756

248,148

251,461

Netherlands

7,627,482

7,846,317

8,065,979

8,260,902

8,408,038

8,536,372

8,645,112

8,722,550

8,757,399

8,705,886

8,652,458

Norway

2,150,257

2,217,140

2,284,070

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Poland

18,778,040

18,783,424

18,470,253

18,283,982

18,071,914

17,895,385

17,797,490

17,664,128

17,438,445

16,762,835

16,371,169

Portugal

4,826,853

4,918,242

5,094,339

5,170,108

5,208,908

5,215,944

5,198,674

5,166,132

5,119,220

4,968,949

4,858,160

Romania

10,891,403

10,711,943

10,561,710

10,388,620

10,178,069

9,902,864

9,618,888

9,382,972

9,170,321

8,690,401

8,392,884

Slovakia

2,608,901

2,625,126

2,613,490

2,590,431

2,569,372

2,549,268

2,531,311

2,505,189

2,466,203

2,356,816

2,292,161

Slovenia

964,375

970,812

977,052

992,407

998,168

1,000,451

1,000,248

994,522

983,653

951,694

933,116

Spain

19,268,561

19,606,767

21,173,289

21,915,911

22,228,949

22,355,480

22,327,403

22,201,089

22,008,230

21,316,551

20,735,371

Sweden

4,356,254

4,380,118

4,466,311

4,568,703

4,673,020

4,783,293

4,885,182

4,958,658

5,003,844

5,081,268

5,123,918

Switzerland

3,428,368

3,500,708

3,628,696

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

United Kingdom

28,156,016

28,634,462

29,395,000

29,922,808

30,499,384

31,047,087

31,510,944

31,834,118

32,001,495

32,061,270

31,959,107

EU-15

-

-

-

191,375,826

193,632,532

195,163,452

195,914,166

195,917,823

195,212,248

191,662,643

188,825,749

EU-25

216,956,560

220,097,166

225,077,159

226,698,269

228,550,361

229,727,451

230,251,164

229,965,854

228,824,345

224,090,999

220,579,362

- : no data available

Remarks

In the Trend scenario produced by Eurostat, the population projections describe the possible future demographic developments making assumptions on the three components of change, namely fertility, mortality and net migration. Based on different assumptions (baseline, high and low) on these three components, seven variants were included in the Trend scenario: baseline, high population, low population, younger age profile population, older age profile population, high fertility and zero migration.

The table above shows the projected population (baseline variant) on 1 January of each year for 2010 and therafter.

For 1995, 2000 and 2005 the population size on 1 January of the year in question is given. The population size is based on data from the most recent census adjusted by the components of population change produced since the last census, or based on population registers. The data was collected by Eurostat from the National Statistical Offices.

Also see:

Eurostat Metadata Regional population projections 2004-based (europop2004): Summary Methodology

Eurostat Statistics in focus: Long-term population projections at national level