This indicator gives forecasts (projections) for the total number of inhabitants by sex for every fifth year from 2010 onwards. Forecasts for the old-age dependency ratio are also presented.
Male population projections (absolute numbers), baseline variant in Iceland, Norway, Switzerland and the EU-27, 1995-2050 (source: Eurostat, 2007)
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2045
2050
Austria
3,831,200
3,868,331
3,986,296
4,019,143
4,076,533
4,122,988
4,154,098
4,164,402
4,151,851
4,083,806
4,028,838
Belgium
4,954,671
5,006,014
5,111,325
5,172,848
5,236,840
5,299,663
5,357,029
5,399,598
5,418,961
5,386,120
5,349,432
Bulgaria
4,129,966
3,991,161
3,767,610
3,605,288
3,454,658
3,296,570
3,141,517
3,005,500
2,882,222
2,634,039
2,501,976
Cyprus
319,967
339,655
369,198
384,734
406,019
424,204
439,325
451,273
460,008
473,574
480,255
Czech Republic
5,020,464
5,001,062
4,980,913
4,937,076
4,889,107
4,840,337
4,798,197
4,740,679
4,658,878
4,463,122
4,359,234
Denmark
2,573,324
2,634,122
2,677,292
2,713,623
2,735,700
2,753,844
2,771,908
2,783,917
2,783,398
2,746,665
2,721,478
Estonia
671,264
632,709
620,600
604,525
587,667
573,683
564,141
555,619
547,726
535,606
529,028
Finland
2,481,649
2,523,026
2,562,077
2,598,667
2,633,716
2,663,101
2,681,918
2,684,460
2,669,418
2,613,503
2,586,812
France
28,841,197
29,387,740
30,371,081
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Germany
39,644,965
40,090,776
40,353,627
40,672,946
40,773,307
40,719,685
40,438,651
39,952,445
39,319,718
37,682,329
36,663,787
Greece
5,243,193
5,399,914
5,486,632
5,570,850
5,630,054
5,650,841
5,637,093
5,599,796
5,545,218
5,377,151
5,259,464
Hungary
4,941,620
4,865,194
4,793,115
4,732,025
4,664,130
4,602,910
4,562,022
4,523,549
4,477,974
4,368,264
4,306,329
Iceland
133,891
139,665
147,170
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Ireland
1,787,212
1,876,974
2,047,093
2,152,475
2,269,746
2,370,208
2,451,801
2,521,244
2,584,628
2,688,269
2,719,008
Italy
27,568,963
27,562,988
28,376,804
28,496,049
28,542,558
28,429,428
28,205,466
27,906,406
27,537,035
26,494,595
25,767,432
Latvia
1,154,321
1,096,888
1,062,918
1,031,386
1,002,297
977,269
957,486
938,034
919,693
892,690
878,946
Lithuania
1,717,208
1,644,301
1,598,155
1,555,623
1,510,767
1,474,719
1,454,347
1,437,308
1,417,761
1,375,607
1,351,914
Luxembourg
199,163
213,615
224,740
236,185
246,984
258,153
269,714
281,080
291,558
309,561
317,772
Malta
182,838
188,589
199,580
210,254
218,388
225,773
232,431
237,730
241,756
248,148
251,461
Netherlands
7,627,482
7,846,317
8,065,979
8,260,902
8,408,038
8,536,372
8,645,112
8,722,550
8,757,399
8,705,886
8,652,458
Norway
2,150,257
2,217,140
2,284,070
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Poland
18,778,040
18,783,424
18,470,253
18,283,982
18,071,914
17,895,385
17,797,490
17,664,128
17,438,445
16,762,835
16,371,169
Portugal
4,826,853
4,918,242
5,094,339
5,170,108
5,208,908
5,215,944
5,198,674
5,166,132
5,119,220
4,968,949
4,858,160
Romania
10,891,403
10,711,943
10,561,710
10,388,620
10,178,069
9,902,864
9,618,888
9,382,972
9,170,321
8,690,401
8,392,884
Slovakia
2,608,901
2,625,126
2,613,490
2,590,431
2,569,372
2,549,268
2,531,311
2,505,189
2,466,203
2,356,816
2,292,161
Slovenia
964,375
970,812
977,052
992,407
998,168
1,000,451
1,000,248
994,522
983,653
951,694
933,116
Spain
19,268,561
19,606,767
21,173,289
21,915,911
22,228,949
22,355,480
22,327,403
22,201,089
22,008,230
21,316,551
20,735,371
Sweden
4,356,254
4,380,118
4,466,311
4,568,703
4,673,020
4,783,293
4,885,182
4,958,658
5,003,844
5,081,268
5,123,918
Switzerland
3,428,368
3,500,708
3,628,696
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
United Kingdom
28,156,016
28,634,462
29,395,000
29,922,808
30,499,384
31,047,087
31,510,944
31,834,118
32,001,495
32,061,270
31,959,107
EU-15
-
-
-
191,375,826
193,632,532
195,163,452
195,914,166
195,917,823
195,212,248
191,662,643
188,825,749
EU-25
216,956,560
220,097,166
225,077,159
226,698,269
228,550,361
229,727,451
230,251,164
229,965,854
228,824,345
224,090,999
220,579,362
- : no data available
Remarks
In the Trend scenario produced by Eurostat, the population projections describe the possible future demographic developments making assumptions on the three components of change, namely fertility, mortality and net migration. Based on different assumptions (baseline, high and low) on these three components, seven variants were included in the Trend scenario: baseline, high population, low population, younger age profile population, older age profile population, high fertility and zero migration.
The table above shows the projected population (baseline variant) on 1 January of each year for 2010 and therafter.
For 1995, 2000 and 2005 the population size on 1 January of the year in question is given. The population size is based on data from the most recent census adjusted by the components of population change produced since the last census, or based on population registers. The data was collected by Eurostat from the National Statistical Offices.
Female population projections (absolute numbers), baseline variant, in Iceland, Norway, Switzerland and the EU-27, 1995-2050 (source: Eurostat, 2007)
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2045
2050
Austria
4,112,289
4,133,855
4,220,228
4,236,667
4,281,008
4,318,105
4,346,528
4,355,491
4,339,057
4,256,051
4,187,117
Belgium
5,175,903
5,233,071
5,334,527
5,381,196
5,436,690
5,490,358
5,541,410
5,584,587
5,612,499
5,596,001
5,556,356
Bulgaria
4,297,452
4,199,715
3,993,439
3,833,500
3,675,624
3,499,482
3,323,592
3,169,067
3,026,214
2,738,810
2,592,087
Cyprus
325,432
350,842
379,977
398,893
421,774
441,389
457,533
470,182
479,070
490,415
494,816
Czech Republic
5,312,697
5,277,036
5,239,664
5,185,066
5,122,908
5,061,511
5,013,480
4,952,231
4,864,202
4,645,912
4,534,277
Denmark
2,642,394
2,695,898
2,734,113
2,751,763
2,762,274
2,772,189
2,784,725
2,793,343
2,789,134
2,739,437
2,708,512
Estonia
776,811
739,362
726,910
709,524
691,259
674,089
659,933
646,856
633,899
609,803
596,742
Finland
2,617,105
2,648,276
2,674,534
2,695,698
2,719,783
2,741,634
2,756,894
2,758,964
2,742,997
2,669,536
2,630,217
France
30,473,942
31,125,647
32,147,490
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Germany
41,893,638
42,072,699
42,147,222
42,150,749
42,090,919
41,956,775
41,668,977
41,193,782
40,565,551
39,014,278
37,978,621
Greece
5,351,881
5,503,843
5,596,119
5,697,867
5,759,950
5,776,202
5,756,442
5,716,611
5,662,928
5,495,222
5,372,310
Hungary
5,395,080
5,356,450
5,304,434
5,249,897
5,170,120
5,090,372
5,026,352
4,960,865
4,884,257
4,704,049
4,608,540
Iceland
133,087
139,384
146,407
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Ireland
1,810,405
1,900,789
2,062,080
2,170,178
2,285,148
2,385,903
2,470,520
2,544,595
2,612,890
2,724,523
2,758,855
Italy
29,275,445
29,360,536
30,085,571
30,135,095
30,087,672
29,870,244
29,545,492
29,165,083
28,739,378
27,663,067
26,941,779
Latvia
1,346,259
1,284,827
1,243,516
1,208,256
1,171,933
1,138,157
1,110,580
1,084,317
1,058,925
1,016,376
993,909
Lithuania
1,925,783
1,867,773
1,827,169
1,789,740
1,746,883
1,707,496
1,679,307
1,654,616
1,627,065
1,565,825
1,529,211
Luxembourg
206,487
219,985
230,260
241,194
251,705
262,703
274,295
285,921
296,979
316,246
324,804
Malta
186,613
191,612
203,088
212,346
220,493
228,247
235,378
241,380
246,156
253,215
256,807
Netherlands
7,796,640
8,017,633
8,239,547
8,411,242
8,549,131
8,673,099
8,783,672
8,866,044
8,904,398
8,830,886
8,753,326
Norway
2,198,153
2,261,357
2,322,293
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Poland
19,802,557
19,870,135
19,703,582
19,546,387
19,356,573
19,169,867
19,038,790
18,877,506
18,614,254
17,784,572
17,293,871
Portugal
5,190,718
5,276,772
5,434,916
5,516,389
5,553,049
5,554,817
5,531,077
5,493,649
5,440,933
5,274,742
5,150,882
Romania
11,302,858
11,195,864
11,096,818
10,956,678
10,738,633
10,439,295
10,127,221
9,861,221
9,616,744
9,064,980
8,732,129
Slovakia
2,747,306
2,773,531
2,771,332
2,756,397
2,739,623
2,721,366
2,705,239
2,680,571
2,640,520
2,518,948
2,445,397
Slovenia
1,025,102
1,016,943
1,020,538
1,022,395
1,020,640
1,016,239
1,013,932
1,011,475
1,005,704
983,689
967,733
Spain
20,074,539
20,442,941
21,864,746
22,687,351
23,035,230
23,203,133
23,228,121
23,178,328
23,086,864
22,601,777
22,098,384
Sweden
4,460,127
4,481,308
4,545,081
4,618,787
4,699,906
4,792,189
4,883,384
4,952,526
4,993,501
5,046,477
5,077,621
Switzerland
3,590,651
3,663,736
3,786,406
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
United Kingdom
29,787,456
30,150,784
30,664,900
31,000,744
31,434,564
31,882,778
32,281,208
32,554,075
32,657,578
32,575,506
32,370,834
EU-15
-
-
-
199,276,418
201,093,926
202,294,056
202,865,577
202,819,558
202,128,967
198,606,302
195,530,494
EU-25
228,913,146
231,992,548
236,401,544
237,355,319
238,756,132
239,542,789
239,806,101
239,399,557
238,183,019
233,179,106
229,251,797
- : no data available
Remarks
In the Trend scenario produced by Eurostat, the population projections describe the possible future demographic developments making assumptions on the three components of change, namely fertility, mortality and net migration. Based on different assumptions (baseline, high and low) on these three components, seven variants were included in the Trend scenario: baseline, high population, low population, younger age profile population, older age profile population, high fertility and zero migration.
The table above shows the projected population (baseline variant) on 1 January of each year for 2010 and therafter.
For 1995, 2000 and 2005 the population size on 1 January of the year in question is given. The population size is based on data from the most recent census adjusted by the components of population change produced since the last census, or based on population registers. The data was collected by Eurostat from the National Statistical Offices.
Population projections (absolute numbers), baseline variant for men 80 years and over in Iceland, Norway, Switzerland and the EU-27, 1995-2050 (source: Eurostat, 2007)
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