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    This indicator gives forecasts (projections) for the total number of inhabitants by sex for every fifth year from 2010 onwards. Forecasts for the old-age dependency ratio are also presented.

      Status

        It has been internally edited.

          Data presentation

          7 April 2008
          Population projections
          Figures, underlying data and maps

          Figures and Underlying Data

          TableMale population projections in Iceland, Norway, Switzerland and the EU-27, 1995-2050

          TableFemale population projections in Iceland, Norway, Switzerland and the EU-27, 1995-2050

          TablePopulation projections for men 80 years and over in Iceland, Norway, Switzerland and the EU-27, 1995-2050

          TablePopulation projections for women 80 years and over in Iceland, Norway, Switzerland and the EU-27, 1995-2050

          TableOld-age dependency ratio projections in Iceland, Norway, Switzerland and the EU-27, 1995-2050

          ChartTrends and projections for total male population in selected countries, 1950-2050 (interactive)

          ChartTrends and projections for total male population in countries with a total population of less than 20 million, 1950-2050 (interactive)

          ChartTrends and projections for total female population in selected countries, 1950-2050 (interactive)

          ChartTrends and projections for total female population in countries with a total population of less than 20 million, 1950-2050 (interactive)

          ChartTrends and projections for male population aged 80 years and over in selected countries, 1950-2050 (interactive)

          ChartTrends and projections for female population aged 80 years and over in selected countries, 1950-2050 (interactive)

          ChartOld-age dependency ratio trends and projections in selected countries, 1950-2050 (interactive)

          Maps

          11 February 2008
          Population projections

          Male population projections (absolute numbers), baseline variant in Iceland, Norway, Switzerland and the EU-27, 1995-2050 (source: Eurostat, 2007)

          1995

          2000

          2005

          2010

          2015

          2020

          2025

          2030

          2035

          2045

          2050

          Austria

          3,831,200

          3,868,331

          3,986,296

          4,019,143

          4,076,533

          4,122,988

          4,154,098

          4,164,402

          4,151,851

          4,083,806

          4,028,838

          Belgium

          4,954,671

          5,006,014

          5,111,325

          5,172,848

          5,236,840

          5,299,663

          5,357,029

          5,399,598

          5,418,961

          5,386,120

          5,349,432

          Bulgaria

          4,129,966

          3,991,161

          3,767,610

          3,605,288

          3,454,658

          3,296,570

          3,141,517

          3,005,500

          2,882,222

          2,634,039

          2,501,976

          Cyprus

          319,967

          339,655

          369,198

          384,734

          406,019

          424,204

          439,325

          451,273

          460,008

          473,574

          480,255

          Czech Republic

          5,020,464

          5,001,062

          4,980,913

          4,937,076

          4,889,107

          4,840,337

          4,798,197

          4,740,679

          4,658,878

          4,463,122

          4,359,234

          Denmark

          2,573,324

          2,634,122

          2,677,292

          2,713,623

          2,735,700

          2,753,844

          2,771,908

          2,783,917

          2,783,398

          2,746,665

          2,721,478

          Estonia

          671,264

          632,709

          620,600

          604,525

          587,667

          573,683

          564,141

          555,619

          547,726

          535,606

          529,028

          Finland

          2,481,649

          2,523,026

          2,562,077

          2,598,667

          2,633,716

          2,663,101

          2,681,918

          2,684,460

          2,669,418

          2,613,503

          2,586,812

          France

          28,841,197

          29,387,740

          30,371,081

          -

          -

          -

          -

          -

          -

          -

          -

          Germany

          39,644,965

          40,090,776

          40,353,627

          40,672,946

          40,773,307

          40,719,685

          40,438,651

          39,952,445

          39,319,718

          37,682,329

          36,663,787

          Greece

          5,243,193

          5,399,914

          5,486,632

          5,570,850

          5,630,054

          5,650,841

          5,637,093

          5,599,796

          5,545,218

          5,377,151

          5,259,464

          Hungary

          4,941,620

          4,865,194

          4,793,115

          4,732,025

          4,664,130

          4,602,910

          4,562,022

          4,523,549

          4,477,974

          4,368,264

          4,306,329

          Iceland

          133,891

          139,665

          147,170

          -

          -

          -

          -

          -

          -

          -

          -

          Ireland

          1,787,212

          1,876,974

          2,047,093

          2,152,475

          2,269,746

          2,370,208

          2,451,801

          2,521,244

          2,584,628

          2,688,269

          2,719,008

          Italy

          27,568,963

          27,562,988

          28,376,804

          28,496,049

          28,542,558

          28,429,428

          28,205,466

          27,906,406

          27,537,035

          26,494,595

          25,767,432

          Latvia

          1,154,321

          1,096,888

          1,062,918

          1,031,386

          1,002,297

          977,269

          957,486

          938,034

          919,693

          892,690

          878,946

          Lithuania

          1,717,208

          1,644,301

          1,598,155

          1,555,623

          1,510,767

          1,474,719

          1,454,347

          1,437,308

          1,417,761

          1,375,607

          1,351,914

          Luxembourg

          199,163

          213,615

          224,740

          236,185

          246,984

          258,153

          269,714

          281,080

          291,558

          309,561

          317,772

          Malta

          182,838

          188,589

          199,580

          210,254

          218,388

          225,773

          232,431

          237,730

          241,756

          248,148

          251,461

          Netherlands

          7,627,482

          7,846,317

          8,065,979

          8,260,902

          8,408,038

          8,536,372

          8,645,112

          8,722,550

          8,757,399

          8,705,886

          8,652,458

          Norway

          2,150,257

          2,217,140

          2,284,070

          -

          -

          -

          -

          -

          -

          -

          -

          Poland

          18,778,040

          18,783,424

          18,470,253

          18,283,982

          18,071,914

          17,895,385

          17,797,490

          17,664,128

          17,438,445

          16,762,835

          16,371,169

          Portugal

          4,826,853

          4,918,242

          5,094,339

          5,170,108

          5,208,908

          5,215,944

          5,198,674

          5,166,132

          5,119,220

          4,968,949

          4,858,160

          Romania

          10,891,403

          10,711,943

          10,561,710

          10,388,620

          10,178,069

          9,902,864

          9,618,888

          9,382,972

          9,170,321

          8,690,401

          8,392,884

          Slovakia

          2,608,901

          2,625,126

          2,613,490

          2,590,431

          2,569,372

          2,549,268

          2,531,311

          2,505,189

          2,466,203

          2,356,816

          2,292,161

          Slovenia

          964,375

          970,812

          977,052

          992,407

          998,168

          1,000,451

          1,000,248

          994,522

          983,653

          951,694

          933,116

          Spain

          19,268,561

          19,606,767

          21,173,289

          21,915,911

          22,228,949

          22,355,480

          22,327,403

          22,201,089

          22,008,230

          21,316,551

          20,735,371

          Sweden

          4,356,254

          4,380,118

          4,466,311

          4,568,703

          4,673,020

          4,783,293

          4,885,182

          4,958,658

          5,003,844

          5,081,268

          5,123,918

          Switzerland

          3,428,368

          3,500,708

          3,628,696

          -

          -

          -

          -

          -

          -

          -

          -

          United Kingdom

          28,156,016

          28,634,462

          29,395,000

          29,922,808

          30,499,384

          31,047,087

          31,510,944

          31,834,118

          32,001,495

          32,061,270

          31,959,107

          EU-15

          -

          -

          -

          191,375,826

          193,632,532

          195,163,452

          195,914,166

          195,917,823

          195,212,248

          191,662,643

          188,825,749

          EU-25

          216,956,560

          220,097,166

          225,077,159

          226,698,269

          228,550,361

          229,727,451

          230,251,164

          229,965,854

          228,824,345

          224,090,999

          220,579,362

          - : no data available

          Remarks

          In the Trend scenario produced by Eurostat, the population projections describe the possible future demographic developments making assumptions on the three components of change, namely fertility, mortality and net migration. Based on different assumptions (baseline, high and low) on these three components, seven variants were included in the Trend scenario: baseline, high population, low population, younger age profile population, older age profile population, high fertility and zero migration.

          The table above shows the projected population (baseline variant) on 1 January of each year for 2010 and therafter.

          For 1995, 2000 and 2005 the population size on 1 January of the year in question is given. The population size is based on data from the most recent census adjusted by the components of population change produced since the last census, or based on population registers. The data was collected by Eurostat from the National Statistical Offices.

          Also see:

          Eurostat Metadata Regional population projections 2004-based (europop2004): Summary Methodology

          Eurostat Statistics in focus: Long-term population projections at national level


          11 February 2008
          Population projections

          Female population projections (absolute numbers), baseline variant, in Iceland, Norway, Switzerland and the EU-27, 1995-2050 (source: Eurostat, 2007)

          1995

          2000

          2005

          2010

          2015

          2020

          2025

          2030

          2035

          2045

          2050

          Austria

          4,112,289

          4,133,855

          4,220,228

          4,236,667

          4,281,008

          4,318,105

          4,346,528

          4,355,491

          4,339,057

          4,256,051

          4,187,117

          Belgium

          5,175,903

          5,233,071

          5,334,527

          5,381,196

          5,436,690

          5,490,358

          5,541,410

          5,584,587

          5,612,499

          5,596,001

          5,556,356

          Bulgaria

          4,297,452

          4,199,715

          3,993,439

          3,833,500

          3,675,624

          3,499,482

          3,323,592

          3,169,067

          3,026,214

          2,738,810

          2,592,087

          Cyprus

          325,432

          350,842

          379,977

          398,893

          421,774

          441,389

          457,533

          470,182

          479,070

          490,415

          494,816

          Czech Republic

          5,312,697

          5,277,036

          5,239,664

          5,185,066

          5,122,908

          5,061,511

          5,013,480

          4,952,231

          4,864,202

          4,645,912

          4,534,277

          Denmark

          2,642,394

          2,695,898

          2,734,113

          2,751,763

          2,762,274

          2,772,189

          2,784,725

          2,793,343

          2,789,134

          2,739,437

          2,708,512

          Estonia

          776,811

          739,362

          726,910

          709,524

          691,259

          674,089

          659,933

          646,856

          633,899

          609,803

          596,742

          Finland

          2,617,105

          2,648,276

          2,674,534

          2,695,698

          2,719,783

          2,741,634

          2,756,894

          2,758,964

          2,742,997

          2,669,536

          2,630,217

          France

          30,473,942

          31,125,647

          32,147,490

          -

          -

          -

          -

          -

          -

          -

          -

          Germany

          41,893,638

          42,072,699

          42,147,222

          42,150,749

          42,090,919

          41,956,775

          41,668,977

          41,193,782

          40,565,551

          39,014,278

          37,978,621

          Greece

          5,351,881

          5,503,843

          5,596,119

          5,697,867

          5,759,950

          5,776,202

          5,756,442

          5,716,611

          5,662,928

          5,495,222

          5,372,310

          Hungary

          5,395,080

          5,356,450

          5,304,434

          5,249,897

          5,170,120

          5,090,372

          5,026,352

          4,960,865

          4,884,257

          4,704,049

          4,608,540

          Iceland

          133,087

          139,384

          146,407

          -

          -

          -

          -

          -

          -

          -

          -

          Ireland

          1,810,405

          1,900,789

          2,062,080

          2,170,178

          2,285,148

          2,385,903

          2,470,520

          2,544,595

          2,612,890

          2,724,523

          2,758,855

          Italy

          29,275,445

          29,360,536

          30,085,571

          30,135,095

          30,087,672

          29,870,244

          29,545,492

          29,165,083

          28,739,378

          27,663,067

          26,941,779

          Latvia

          1,346,259

          1,284,827

          1,243,516

          1,208,256

          1,171,933

          1,138,157

          1,110,580

          1,084,317

          1,058,925

          1,016,376

          993,909

          Lithuania

          1,925,783

          1,867,773

          1,827,169

          1,789,740

          1,746,883

          1,707,496

          1,679,307

          1,654,616

          1,627,065

          1,565,825

          1,529,211

          Luxembourg

          206,487

          219,985

          230,260

          241,194

          251,705

          262,703

          274,295

          285,921

          296,979

          316,246

          324,804

          Malta

          186,613

          191,612

          203,088

          212,346

          220,493

          228,247

          235,378

          241,380

          246,156

          253,215

          256,807

          Netherlands

          7,796,640

          8,017,633

          8,239,547

          8,411,242

          8,549,131

          8,673,099

          8,783,672

          8,866,044

          8,904,398

          8,830,886

          8,753,326

          Norway

          2,198,153

          2,261,357

          2,322,293

          -

          -

          -

          -

          -

          -

          -

          -

          Poland

          19,802,557

          19,870,135

          19,703,582

          19,546,387

          19,356,573

          19,169,867

          19,038,790

          18,877,506

          18,614,254

          17,784,572

          17,293,871

          Portugal

          5,190,718

          5,276,772

          5,434,916

          5,516,389

          5,553,049

          5,554,817

          5,531,077

          5,493,649

          5,440,933

          5,274,742

          5,150,882

          Romania

          11,302,858

          11,195,864

          11,096,818

          10,956,678

          10,738,633

          10,439,295

          10,127,221

          9,861,221

          9,616,744

          9,064,980

          8,732,129

          Slovakia

          2,747,306

          2,773,531

          2,771,332

          2,756,397

          2,739,623

          2,721,366

          2,705,239

          2,680,571

          2,640,520

          2,518,948

          2,445,397

          Slovenia

          1,025,102

          1,016,943

          1,020,538

          1,022,395

          1,020,640

          1,016,239

          1,013,932

          1,011,475

          1,005,704

          983,689

          967,733

          Spain

          20,074,539

          20,442,941

          21,864,746

          22,687,351

          23,035,230

          23,203,133

          23,228,121

          23,178,328

          23,086,864

          22,601,777

          22,098,384

          Sweden

          4,460,127

          4,481,308

          4,545,081

          4,618,787

          4,699,906

          4,792,189

          4,883,384

          4,952,526

          4,993,501

          5,046,477

          5,077,621

          Switzerland

          3,590,651

          3,663,736

          3,786,406

          -

          -

          -

          -

          -

          -

          -

          -

          United Kingdom

          29,787,456

          30,150,784

          30,664,900

          31,000,744

          31,434,564

          31,882,778

          32,281,208

          32,554,075

          32,657,578

          32,575,506

          32,370,834

          EU-15

          -

          -

          -

          199,276,418

          201,093,926

          202,294,056

          202,865,577

          202,819,558

          202,128,967

          198,606,302

          195,530,494

          EU-25

          228,913,146

          231,992,548

          236,401,544

          237,355,319

          238,756,132

          239,542,789

          239,806,101

          239,399,557

          238,183,019

          233,179,106

          229,251,797

          - : no data available

          Remarks

          In the Trend scenario produced by Eurostat, the population projections describe the possible future demographic developments making assumptions on the three components of change, namely fertility, mortality and net migration. Based on different assumptions (baseline, high and low) on these three components, seven variants were included in the Trend scenario: baseline, high population, low population, younger age profile population, older age profile population, high fertility and zero migration.

          The table above shows the projected population (baseline variant) on 1 January of each year for 2010 and therafter.

          For 1995, 2000 and 2005 the population size on 1 January of the year in question is given. The population size is based on data from the most recent census adjusted by the components of population change produced since the last census, or based on population registers. The data was collected by Eurostat from the National Statistical Offices.

          Also see:

          Eurostat Metadata Regional population projections 2004-based (europop2004): Summary Methodology

          Eurostat Statistics in focus: Long-term population projections at national level


          11 February 2008
          Population projections

          Population projections (absolute numbers), baseline variant for men 80 years and over in Iceland, Norway, Switzerland and the EU-27, 1995-2050 (source: Eurostat, 2007)

          1995

          2000

          2005

          2010

          2015

          2020

          2025

          2030

          2035

          2045

          2050

          Austria

          87,451

          74,854

          98,210

          123,216

          142,448

          167,573

          212,229

          238,422

          261,904

          376,636

          427,811

          Belgium

          115,047

          106,282

          145,050

          175,677

          205,179

          224,539

          238,543

          295,967

          350,412

          453,137

          473,337

          Bulgaria

          85,182

          67,577

          89,572

          104,168

          116,100

          116,783

          123,714

          151,263

          174,744

          202,595

          213,548

          Cyprus

          7,076

          7,489

          8,035

          9,204

          10,905

          13,914

          17,334

          21,465

          25,027

          31,071

          32,025

          Czech Republic

          84,923

          70,389

          93,385

          112,600

          125,185

          132,784

          173,183

          238,110

          284,787

          302,425

          318,236

          Denmark

          67,347

          68,871

          74,535

          78,200

          82,988

          95,262

          121,068

          151,434

          162,002

          186,456

          201,371

          Estonia

          9,611

          8,326

          9,475

          12,586

          14,583

          16,544

          16,715

          18,611

          21,785

          27,869

          29,027

          Finland

          44,416

          46,365

          57,973

          73,674

          86,699

          102,560

          120,497

          169,939

          197,508

          215,638

          216,326

          France

          760,177

          673,229

          921,730

          -

          -

          -

          -

          -

          -

          -

          -

          Germany

          903,114

          770,921

          986,574